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国家自然科学基金(40701021)

作品数:3 被引量:23H指数:3
相关作者:葛全胜郝志新郑景云李明启更多>>
相关机构:中国科学院中国科学院研究生院更多>>
发文基金:国家自然科学基金国家科技支撑计划中国科学院知识创新工程重要方向项目更多>>
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1876-1878 severe drought in North China:Facts,impacts and climatic background被引量:8
2010年
Based on the reconstructed precipitation series in North China from historical documents, the 1876-1878 drought was identified as the most severe and extreme one in North China over the past 300 years. Meanwhile, the spatial patterns of seasonal and annual precipitation during 1876-1877 were analyzed and the social and economic impacts related with this drought event were evaluated according to the descriptions in the historical documents. The results indicated that this long-lasting drought started by the spring of 1876 and did not stop until the spring of 1878. Within the three years, the harvest failures brought the rice price increased to 5-10 times than that in the normal year, and the total population in the five provinces over North China decreased by more than 20 million due to a large number of dead people and migrations. In addition, related investigations suggested that the 1876-1878 drought was prevalent worldwide, which has possible link with abnormal high SST in the equatorial central and eastern Pacific, strong El Nio episode and positive AAO anomalies.
HAO ZhiXinZHENG JingYunWU GuoFengZHANG XueZhenGE QuanSheng
关键词:干旱事件气候背景厄尔尼诺事件海温异常
长江中下游地区梅雨与旱涝的关系被引量:11
2009年
利用1736—2000年长江中下游地区梅雨期长度、梅雨量和旱涝等级资料,分析了近300年以来梅雨与旱涝的关系.从逐年的对比结果看,有64%的年份梅雨期长短(或梅雨量多少)与旱涝变化一致,即梅雨期越长,梅雨量越大,气候易偏涝,反之易偏旱;另有36%的年份二者变化并不一致.但从年代际尺度看,二者的变化趋势基本一致.此外,功率谱和小波分析表明:长江中下游地区梅雨和旱涝等级均存在2—7a,20a及40a左右的周期,这可能与El-Nio-南方涛动及太平洋年代际振荡等发生的周期模态存在关联.
郝志新李明启郑景云葛全胜
关键词:梅雨旱涝等级
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