In order to monitor the pattern, distribution, and trend of land use/cover change (LUCC) and its impacts on soil erosion, it is highly appropriate to adopt Remote Sensing (RS) data and Geographic Information System (GIS) to analyze, assess, simulate, and predict the spatial and temporal evolution dynamics. In this paper, multi-temporal Landsat TM/ETM+ re- motely sensed data are used to generate land cover maps by image classification, and the Cellular Automata Markov (CA_Markov) model is employed to simulate the evolution and trend of landscape pattern change. Furthermore, the Re- vised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) is used to evaluate the situation of soil erosion in the case study mining area. The trend of soil erosion is analyzed according to total/average amount of soil erosion, and the rainfall (R), cover man- agement (C), and support practice (P) factors in RUSLE relevant to soil erosion are determined. The change trends of soil erosion and the relationship between land cover types and soil erosion amount are analyzed. The results demonstrate that the CA_Markov model is suitable to simulate and predict LUCC trends with good efficiency and accuracy, and RUSLE can calculate the total soil erosion effectively. In the study area, there was minimal erosion grade and this is expected to con- tinue to decline in the next few years, according to our prediction results.
Conventional change detection approaches are mainly based on per-pixel processing,which ignore the sub-pixel spectral variation resulted from spectral mixture.Especially for medium-resolution remote sensing images used in urban landcover change monitoring,land use/cover components within a single pixel are usually complicated and heterogeneous due to the limitation of the spatial resolution.Thus,traditional hard detection methods based on pure pixel assumption may lead to a high level of omission and commission errors inevitably,degrading the overall accuracy of change detection.In order to address this issue and find a possible way to exploit the spectral variation in a sub-pixel level,a novel change detection scheme is designed based on the spectral mixture analysis and decision-level fusion.Nonlinear spectral mixture model is selected for spectral unmixing,and change detection is implemented in a sub-pixel level by investigating the inner-pixel subtle changes and combining multiple composition evidences.The proposed method is tested on multi-temporal Landsat Thematic Mapper and China–Brazil Earth Resources Satellite remote sensing images for the land-cover change detection over urban areas.The effectiveness of the proposed approach is confirmed in terms of several accuracy indices in contrast with two pixel-based change detection methods(i.e.change vector analysis and principal component analysis-based method).In particular,the proposed sub-pixel change detection approach not only provides the binary change information,but also obtains the characterization about change direction and intensity,which greatly extends the semantic meaning of the detected change targets.